PVTIME – A senior Pakistani government official has confirmed that, for the first time next year, rooftop solar generation in key industrial zones will exceed the country’s daytime grid demand. This follows a record surge in solar panel installations, driven by frequent blackouts and rising electricity prices, which have accelerated adoption among Pakistan’s population of 250 million.
Pakistan now ranks as the world’s third-largest solar panel importer, with a greater proportion of solar power in its energy mix than neighbouring China. While this shift has reduced emissions and lowered electricity costs for some users, it has put a strain on the finances of debt-ridden utility firms due to prolonged falls in grid power demand.
Pakistan’s lead COP30 negotiator, Moriarty, noted that negative demand events would become more common, particularly on sunny summer afternoons, during industrial holidays, and during periods of high solar output. She emphasised that the challenge lies not in renewable energy growth itself, but in the speed with which grid regulations and market design can adapt to keep pace.
To address these issues, the South Asian nation plans to introduce new tariffs for large-scale solar users and adjust fee structures, ensuring that businesses with solar panels contribute fairly to grid maintenance costs. Grid-connected power demand is projected to rise by 3–4% this year, which is below historical averages, with a significant increase expected in 2025, though this may be offset by expanded solar use.
The solar boom has also prompted Pakistan to renegotiate its liquefied natural gas contract with Qatar, a major supplier, and cancel shipments from Italy’s Eni. Moriarty explained that the country is seeking lower prices, flexible delivery schedules, and the potential to reduce volumes. While no formal talks with Qatar took place at COP30, the event provided valuable opportunities for diplomatic engagement with energy ministers and business representatives.
Moriarty emphasised that the core goal is to align Pakistan’s LNG import strategy with fiscal capacity, demand outlooks and seasonal patterns, prioritising stability and affordability over increased reliance on LNG.
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